"We see in the last some days growth of quotations of oil higher than 55 rubles for barrel of oil of the Brent brand. By my estimates, in the next few days we still will see some stabilization of ruble, but I would not began to put on strengthening of native currency. I would give preference to dollar as this currency can become stronger with arrival Donald Trump", – Selyanin Konstantin speaks.
the Analyst Group of companies "Finam" Bogdan Zvarich considers a present situation "as very interesting and good situation for Russian ruble". OPEC, Russian Federation and 10 more countries which are not entering into cartel, last Saturday agreed about decrease in oil production since 2017 for maintenance of the prices.
"Prices of oil will continue to grow. In forecasts already there is a figure of 60 dollars for barrel, even 65. But it in short-term prospect. In 2017 expected figure – 55-57 dollars for barrel that is already quite good for the Russian economy. Especially as compared we observed in 2016", – Bogdan Zvarich estimates.
thus the expert website "Finam.Ru" too considers that established "world" in the market of production of hydrocarbons is fragile. Unclear, as independent producers in the future will carry out arrangements on oil production reduction. Whether "All will adhere to the arrangement? Retaliatory measures to participants of the agreement it is not provided", – Bogdan Zvarich adds.
China and financial policy of United States of America also.
Plot [Fontanka. The office]
the Economist Khazin Mikhail is categorical: strengthening of ruble will end quickly enough, and a collapse of the European and American currency in comparison with it – the local phenomenon.
"Still ahead. Both good, and bad", – the head of the exchange Saint Petersburg Victor Nikolaev agrees with it.
the Long-term forecast against processes occurring in world economy experts compare p to shamanism. And while on the world scene draw different economic scenarios, brokers suggest Russians not to guess quotations, and to use bonuses of today. Here some councils how to receive a margin at least in short-term prospect.
to Sell or buy dollars – everything depends on a concrete situation. "If there is spare cash to buy currency - in a present situation it already well. – Selyanin Konstantin jokes. - In next few days will not be neither serious strengthening of ruble, nor a serious flash of currency. In long-term prospect there will be no essential strengthening of ruble also. While the ruble locally became stronger, I would give preference to dollar. If already bought currency, precisely you should not panic and sell at this course". the Stockbroker Victor Nikolaev advises p to
to buy now dollars only for the consumer purposes. For example, for New Year's trips. "If to speak about such use of rubles, god ordered to spend them for currency now. On distant prospect – to jump aside still early", – Victor Nikolaev is sure.
He warns those who from exchange reports started falling into euphoria: to earn on a difference of quotations at the population precisely it will not turn out. "This unpromising business and is not clear that will be farther", – the skilled expert considers. But according to its forecast, the next 3-5 days exchange rates will precisely continue decrease.
Khazin Mikhail supported such message and for simplification gave history of the family. "If you want to buy today only to sell tomorrow, you will precisely be the loser. I for this reason am at war all the time with the wife. 10 years ago, when gold grew, I advised it to buy it. She bought then price of gold locally went down. Then, of course, the price grew, but at this stage it explained to me what I am an idiot".
to Find p the answer to a question, whether Russians should calm down and to start making advances to currency, one more will help emotionally the statement Khazin Mikhail: "I do not know when everything will fall off. Present that Central bank Russian Federation (Bank Russia) decided to support bankers and gave them under a zero rate of 100-200 billion rubles. They converted this money in dollars and started them selling. The dollar locally fell at this time, bankers earned to themselves under New an award. What it is related to economy? ".
If to summarize, experts predict that in next few days the dollar will give still. Reference point which will be reached, – 60 rubles for dollar. Further forecasts – risk occupation.
Kuraeva Catherina
online newspaper "Fontanka.ru"