If Pyongyang begins rocket attack

@InoSMI.ru
Show original
The North Korean leader Kim Jong Un shoots on targets in Pyongyang © AP Photo, Korean Central News Agency via Korea News Service

according to experts, at the disposal of the president Trump will be, "probably, 10 minutes" for making decision on drawing retaliation across North Korea — in case it sometime starts the rocket, capable to reach the mainland of United States of America.


Discussing with the correspondent of agency of information agency "Associated Press" a question that there will be in case of nuclear attack from outside North Korea, Wright David (David Wright), the scientist dealing with problems of global within the Union of Concerned Scientists organization (UCS), and also Shiller Marcus (Markus Schiller), the expert in the field of rocketry from the German company ST Analytics, told that will occur in that case.


"Time frames will be very narrow — Wright David told. — Even in a case with rockets of distant radius of action it is necessary to take many steps for detection of start and clarification of concrete data and therefore at the president remains, probably, 10 minutes for making decision on drawing retaliation".


Though experts continue to draw

that North Korean rockets are not capable to reach yet the territory of United States of America, this communistic nation on Monday declared that it possesses such opportunities.


the State Tsentralnoye telegrafnoye agency Koreas (KCNA) after the tests of the Hvason-12 rocket carried out in a weekend in the message claims that North Korea is capable to direct "the rocket of the big size with a nuclear warhead" through the Pacific Ocean.


However Kim Jong-un Don-yub (Kim Dong-yub), professor of South Korean university Kennam (Kyungnam University) in conversation with local journalists declared that at best this rocket is capable to reach the territory State of Alaska or State of Hawaii.


But if North Korea, actually, has opportunity to hit the targets in the territory of United States of America, that, according to Wright David and Shiller Marcus, the situation can get out of — and there will be it very quickly. Wright David considers that the intercontinental ballistic missile started by this hermetically sealed state will need about half an hour to reach San Francisco whereas, according to Shiller Marcus, Seattle and Los Angeles can be struck less than 30 minutes later after its start. As for New York and Washington D.C., about 11 thousand which were at distance of kilometers, the rocket will reach them in 30-40 minutes, believe Shiller Marcus and Wright David.


the American allies round the Korean peninsula will have narrower window of opportunity in case Kim Jong-un makes the decision to attack the neighbors in the southern part of the Pacific Ocean.

As consider Shiller Marcus and Wright David, at inhabitants Seoul on hand remains from zero till 6 minutes (time from the moment of rocket start before purpose defeat) somewhere to take cover in case of rocket attack. Japanese will have slightly more time, but not much more. Shiller Marcus and Wright David consider that by the started North Korea the rocket will need 10-11 minutes for defeat of the purposes to Tokyo.

Should be considered br also that Kim Jong-un can use chemical or biological warheads, and also carry out massive attack to South Korea and Japan, using rockets of average range of "Skad-ER" (Scud ER) which test was carried out in March of this year.


Though there are protection systems for reflection of such attacks, Shiller Marcus and Wright David warn that they can not work or be useless in case of artillery attack and when using a large number of warheads.


In conversation with the correspondent of agency of information agency "Associated Press" these experts noted that in case of real attack or threat of rocket attack one of possible scenarios can look so: the South Korean Busan which port is used often by the ships of Department of the Navy of the USA becomes the first purpose.

according to Shiller Marcus and Wright David, the following step it will be difficult to determine but if Trump decides to strike back, it can use for this purpose intercontinental ballistic missiles of land basing which start will require five minutes, or the rockets placed on submarines which will be in air in 15 minutes.

Analysis
×
Kim Jong-un
Last position: Chairman (State Council North Korea)
35
David Wright
Shiller Marcus
Университет Кюнгнам
Main activity:Science and education