Fife and Cat: why Bratislava after Poland "was frightened" for Ukraine

@REGNUM
Show original

If Moscow manages to propose Slovakia a certain mutually advantageous solution in a context "Nord Stream 2", Poland risks again to remain in Above-town group alone Stanislav Stremidlovsky

    the Illustration: playcast.ru Illustration: playcast.ru
an illustration the Polish president Andrzej Duda and the Slovak Andrey Kiska synchronized watches on the eve of a meeting of leaders of Above-town group (Poland, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Hungary), planned for October 8−9 in the Hungarian city of Balatonfyured. As reports the Polish news agency (RAR), the Fife declared need "to invest political capital in Above-town group and other forms of regional cooperation", having mentioned this context of the Adriatic and Baltic and Black Sea platform which form the southern European countries of the Central and Eastern Europe. According to the Polish president, it is a question of dialogue strengthening in spheres of power, transport and telecommunications. But he paid special attention to the construction project of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline which intend to carry out the Russian concern "Gazprom" together with the German companies E. On and BASF/Wintershall, the British and Netherlands Shell, the Austrian OMV and the French Engie.

"Such decisions as "Nord Stream 2" have powerful political consequences, we have to resist resolutely to it because it contradicts interests of the Republics of Poland and Slovakia" — emphasized the Fife. With it associated the Cat. "It is clear that if the gas pipeline will construct, it will potentially mean a blackout of Ukraine from the Russian gas that becomes extremely powerful political weapon in hands of Russia against Ukraine — quotes his words the Slovak portal of Teraz.sk. — Certainly, for our country it will have negative economic consequences". The president noted that "the Above-town group, certainly, possesses the bigger power, than Slovakia and Poland separately", however it is important, "if we want to achieve success, to find other small countries, allies with whom we will pursue together our interests".

At first sight, both the Fife, and the Cat was told about this and the same and the same words. But whether so it? On "Nord Stream 2" the economic component is present at attack of Warsaw is mediated. Poles rustle about power and political solidarity of the European Union much. However in their representation it means that money has to be taken from the Bruxelles bedside table and is shifted in the Polish. Poland itself applies for leadership in possible pipeline consortium from several countries which the North — the South" would stretch from the Polish LNG terminal in Swinoujscie to Croatian on the island of Krk within the planned European gas corridor ". And, as the editor-in-chief of the Polish portal of BiznesAlert considers. pl Wojciech Yakubik, it could help to connect Ukraine to construction and entry into a pipeline network that has to increase "power safety of Above-town group". And at the same time to Kiev completely to refuse import of the Russian gas.

"the North — the South" still need to be constructed and found

But a corridor, than to fill it that in a present situation raises doubts. Therefore for Poland construction "Nord Stream 2" meanwhile does not threaten with real financial loss. Other business Slovakia. Its national company Eustream is the most important link of transportation of the Russian gas to the European Union and its further distribution. And not only. In April of last year of Eustream signed with Ukrtransgaz concern the memorandum "about mutual understanding on ensuring reversny supply of gas to Ukraine". And in September, the press service of the Ukrainian cabinet transferred, the first deliveries began. As the head of the government of Ukraine Arseny Yatsenyuk declared then, "thanks to reverse opening from Slovakia and opportunity for Ukraine to get gas in Europe we replaced 40% of gas which earlier bought from "Gazprom", on gas which we buy and we transport from Europe". That is, besides that the Russian gas went through the Ukrainian territory to Slovakia and from there to the Czech Republic and Germany on what Bratislava earned, she also resold it to Kiev. Therefore when business reached signing of the contract on construction "Nord Stream 2", it became clear that with the termination of the Ukrainian transit the value loses also the Slovak route, and Slovakia will already receive gas from the West, instead of the East.

at the beginning of June of this year the Slovak prime minister Robert Fico went to Moscow where discussed the future of transportation of gas through the territory of Slovakia. According to TASS, he suggested Russia to be connected to the joint project with Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary and EU and to integrate the Slovak Eastring gas pipeline system with the Turkish Stream project. The prime minister noted that Bratislava cannot interfere with the Russian-Ukrainian relations, including in gas subject, but also cannot "sit quietly and to wait that Ukraine drops out of the gas transmission system". However in the middle of September of the rhetorician of Bratislava changed, and the Slovak experts started talking that "fears apropos "Nord Stream 2" come true". Thus the project of the new gas pipeline "suddenly", according to the analyst of Institute of energy security Pyotr Marchan, "raised a question of the relation of the European Union to Ukraine". What happened?

The matter is that if in the summer as it seemed to much, Moscow was just about ready to settle with Ankara final details on construction of "The Turkish stream", today its prospects are foggy and negotiations on it are postponed for November-December after in Turkey will pass extraordinary parliamentary elections and in the country at last there will be a responsible government. Last year the Slovak state gas concern Slovenský plynárenský priemysel (SPP) showed profit (to the taxation) of 483 million euros. The considerable part of this income is the share of receipts from Eustream in which SPP owns a half of actions. As the Bratislava newspaper Pravda, a transit suspension "to us stated in this regard about billion euro" threatens with loss in the next years. From what it was possible to draw a conclusion that "Nord Stream 2" started finding reality in the opinion of Bratislava, and her "alarm" for Ukraine and the appeal to "a political component" has especially economic background.

because of rejection of it "the Russian-German project" Poland and Slovakia found p each other in the situational union, though motivation at them different. If Warsaw doubts still torment, whether is it in EU the country of the first grade or the second, and also it is frightened by opportunity again to appear in "embraces" of Moscow and Berlin, Bratislava wants to compensate potentially dropping out income. However not the fact that Poles and Slovaks will find understanding in it at the partners in Above-town group. The Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán is adjusted on cooperation with Russia and stakes on the project of modernization of the Hungarian nuclear power plant of Pasht. As for Czechs, the prime minister of the Czech Republic Bogusêaw Sobotka, according to Radio Praha, suggested all Above-town group to support his idea about the help to Budapest in protection of borders of the Schengen area, and the Minister of Internal Affairs of the Czech Republic Milan Chovanek intends on October 8 with colleagues from Poland, Slovakia and Hungary to discuss the main principles of such action. There is also another. The ambassador of Russia in Poland Sergey Andreyev in interview of Polska Gazeta Wrocławska noted that the Polish-Russian relations are frozen while the relations with Bratislava, Prague and Budapest prosper that "follows from pragmatic approach of these countries to cooperation with Russia". If Moscow manages to propose Slovakia a certain mutually advantageous solution in a context "Nord Stream 2", Poland risks again to remain in Above-town group alone.

Analysis
×
Andrzej Duda
Last position: President of the Republic of Poland (President of Republic Poland)
54
Arseniy Yatsenyuk
Last position: Chairman of Political council
5
Victor Orban
Last position: Prime minister (Government of Hungary)
93
PJSC Gazprom
Main activity:Production and distribution of the electric power, gas and water
444
Engie
Main activity:Production and distribution of the electric power, gas and water
9
PUBLIC JOINT-STOCK COMPANY "UKRTRANSGAZ"
Main activity:Production and distribution of the electric power, gas and water
OMV AG
Main activity:Production of coke, oil products and nuclear materials
9